Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.241017 0.287272 0.339161 0.401555 0.474417 0.556678 0.656453
2025-02-23 0.165406 0.222462 0.293707 0.388685 0.511394 0.663937 0.867206
2025-03-02 0.121816 0.179516 0.257593 0.369925 0.526147 0.734254 1.030693
2025-03-09 0.101699 0.161516 0.247922 0.380096 0.574992 0.849131 1.260469
2025-03-16 0.080938 0.137714 0.224776 0.365562 0.584361 0.907379 1.414833
2025-03-23 0.070237 0.126951 0.218566 0.374005 0.626707 1.015457 1.650331
2025-03-30 0.061248 0.117125 0.211855 0.379852 0.664457 1.118962 1.887683
2025-04-06 0.052229 0.105490 0.200093 0.375129 0.683509 1.193696 2.085484
2025-04-13 0.044920 0.095586 0.189648 0.370778 0.701828 1.267841 2.287864
2025-04-20 0.040909 0.091253 0.188508 0.382602 0.749108 1.394230 2.588453
2025-04-27 0.039809 0.092546 0.198027 0.415174 0.836934 1.598115 3.039965
2025-05-04 0.036970 0.089684 0.198942 0.431100 0.895103 1.753960 3.418948
2025-05-11 0.032338 0.082367 0.190358 0.428213 0.919197 1.854154 3.714228
2025-05-18 0.027399 0.073448 0.177145 0.414209 0.920115 1.911940 3.938053
2025-05-25 0.022826 0.064439 0.162233 0.394296 0.906213 1.939186 4.105165
2025-06-01 0.020968 0.061838 0.161386 0.405083 0.957658 2.099569 4.545995
2025-06-08 0.017794 0.055124 0.149774 0.389667 0.950479 2.140330 4.750494
2025-06-15 0.016370 0.052882 0.148660 0.398622 0.998131 2.298366 5.207405
2025-06-22 0.014964 0.050400 0.146545 0.404824 1.040071 2.447808 5.658499
2025-06-29 0.013228 0.046565 0.140290 0.399814 1.055123 2.540209 5.995505
2025-07-06 0.011727 0.043120 0.134516 0.395200 1.070477 2.634386 6.343806
2025-07-13 0.011017 0.042065 0.135217 0.407741 1.129267 2.831423 6.935234
2025-07-20 0.011084 0.043627 0.143650 0.442281 1.246804 3.172821 7.876890